基于灰度关联和神经网络的装备价格第三方服务机构评价模型

为了科学合理选择装备价格第三方服务机构,研究以灰度关联分析和神经网络方法构建评价模型。研究数据采用问卷调研形式获取,针对样本数据采用灰度关联法分析评价指标与综合评分之间的关联性,发现服务态度和制度建设情况两个评价指标与综合评分关联度达0.74以上,较为重要。采用有效二级指标和综合评分作为输入和输出数据,构建基于神经网络的装备价格第三方服务机构评价模型。通过实际数据验证分析,发现神经网络模型预测精准的概率为75%,预测满足要求的概率为25%,满足实际应用需求,能够为主管部门遴选机构建言献策。     

利用时间窗权重进行航迹关联

提出一种利用传感器测量数据的时间窗权重进行航迹关联的方法,将目标运动状态的多维向量(如距离、方位角、俯仰角等)分解为多个一维状态标量;根据每个状态标量与时间的关系,提取两条航迹的共同测量时间区间,将其划分为若干个时间窗,计算对应时间窗内的权重;根据时间窗权重差计算每一个状态标量的航迹相似度;应用DS理论或Bayes理论进行航迹关联决策。     

A gentle occupation: unravelling the Dutch approach in Iraq, 2003–2005

This article examines the so-called ‘Dutch approach’ to conducting stabilisation operations. The term is mostly used in relation to the mission carried out by the Netherlands armed forces in Afghanistan's Uruzgan province from 2006 to 2010, but actually originates in the Iraqi province of Al Muthanna. Here, a 1350-strong battle group operated from July 2003 until March 2005 as part of the US-led coalition, after which the Dutch forces left Iraq relatively unscathed and self-confident of their ability in dealing with this type of conflict. On the basis of archival research and interviews, the authors unravel the ‘Dutch approach’ in southern Iraq by tracing its roots and by examining the Dutch operation in the context of the American and British experiences. They argue that despite predominantly effective tactical reflexes and an overall adequately broad interpretation by battle group commanders of a too narrowly defined political mandate, stability in Al Muthanna was conditions-driven rather than the result of a unique and effective approach. The term ‘Dutch approach’ turned out to be a convenient fabrication which, after the relatively successful mission in Al Muthanna, became increasingly politicised in the run-up to a dangerous new operation in southern Afghanistan.     

Demobilisation,disarmament and reintegration in the Democratic Republic of Congo: The numbers game

Abstract

The creation of the Africa Command (AFRICOM) has reflected the growth in the strategic importance of Africa in US foreign policy since the end of the 1990s. One of the objectives of this new geographical military command is to forge closer links between foreign, security and development policies. However, this approach met with a number of difficulties associated with the challenge of ‘inter-agency cooperation’ among rather disparate actors from foreign affairs, defence and development. In addition, the establishment of AFRICOM has met with fierce criticism in the US and elsewhere – especially in Africa – culminating in the charge that the US foreign and development policies in Africa are being militarised. Although AFRICOM has a number of interesting features, this paper shows that it has reacted to these criticisms by realigning itself more closely with the traditional model of a military command, at the expense of the innovative interagency elements.     

雷达目标识别的频域极小极大法

本文研究了雷达目标识别过程中关于目标的编码、分类特征的提取与选择等问题。提出了利用极小极大原则从频域中获取目标特征系数的方法,论述了它的数学框架以及寻求最佳解的算法步骤。利用实测的目标散射数据进行试验研究,结果表明了本文理论的正确性及其方法的有效性。     

氦原子1S, 3S, 1P, 3P态的电子关联计算

本文从二次量子化公式出发,选取广义Laguerre多项式乘以γ~lcxp(-alγ)作为单电子径向函数完全集,这里a_l是依赖于轨道角动量l的变分参数,用组态相互作用方法计算了氨原子~1S,~3S,~1P,~3P态的能量和波函数。当组态限于主量子数n≤4,计算的能量相对精度约为99.9%;当组态限于%≤6,能量相对精度约为99.99%;而Hartree Fock方法的能量相对精度约为99%,利用原子波函数计算了一些原子参数,其结果与其他作者的结果符合很好。     

复杂环境下基于多目标粒子群的DWA路径规划算法

针对机器人在障碍物分布密集的复杂环境中运行时,动态窗口法(dynamic window approach,DWA)易出现避障失败或规划不合理的情况,提出一种基于多目标粒子群优化算法(multi-objective particle swarm optimization,MOPSO)的改进DWA规划算法。在建立多障碍物环境覆盖模型的基础上,提出一种障碍物密集度的判断方法;优化DWA算法中的子评价函数;利用改进的MOPSO算法实现DWA权重系数的动态调整,将权重系数的自适应变化问题转化为多目标优化问题;根据路径规划的要求将安全距离和速度作为优化目标,并使用改进的MOPSO算法对相应的多目标优化模型进行优化求解。仿真结果表明,该算法使机器人有效地通过障碍〖BHDWG8,WK10YQ,DK1*2,WK1*2D〗〖XCLXY.TIF;%129%129〗听语音 聊科研与作者互动 物密集区的同时兼顾了运行的安全性和速度,具有更好的路径规划效果。     

Minimum deterrence and missile defenses: what's new,what's true,what's arguable

Minimum deterrence is a compromise, or halfway house, between nuclear abolition or nearly zero and assured destruction, the dominant paradigm for strategic nuclear arms control during and after the cold war. Minimum deterrence as applied to the current relationship between the United States and Russia would require downsizing the numbers of operationally deployed long-range nuclear weapons to 1000, or fewer, on each side. More drastic bilateral Russian–American reductions would require the cooperation of other nuclear weapons states in making proportional reductions in their own arsenals. In addition, US plans for European-based and global missile defenses cause considerable angst in Russia and threaten to derail the Obama “reset” in Russian–American relations, despite the uncertainties about current and plausible future performances of missile defense technologies.     

基于仿真的潜艇装备作战能力ANP幂指数评估方法

针对潜艇装备作战能力幂指数评估模型中评估指标之间存在相互依赖或影响关系,以及评估过程主观性较强的情况,建立了基于仿真的潜艇装备作战能力ANP幂指数评估流程;以潜艇反舰作战能力评估为例,给出了网络化评估指标体系设计与优化方法;基于专家和仿真数据的ANP超矩阵构建方法以及基于指标权重的幂指数评估模型构建方法,建立了基于仿真...     

基于二进小波变换的噪声图像自适应增强新算法

针对图像增强算法通常会放大原图像中噪声分量的问题,提出了一种基于二进小波变换的图像增强新算法。该算法充分利用了二进小波变换的平移不变性和各尺度上小波系数间的相关性,有效改善了增强过程中噪声放大和边缘失真问题。此外,算法具有高度的自适应能力,适用性更强。实验结果表明,与目前已有的各类多尺度图像增强算法相比,该算法在抑制噪声和凸显图像特征两方面均有明显改进。